introduction

Our goal is to use mathematical and statistical techniques to deal with natural hazards and tackle environmental challenges, including issues from the forecasting of extreme weather events to carbon capture. Extreme natural hazards are a great societal problem, not only in underdeveloped countries, and are negatively affected by climate change. Their physics is poorly understood, and a lack of reliable statistics hinders risk assessment or identification of signatures of climate change. We will address the study of atmospheric and oceanic phenomena enhancing sub-seasonal predictability of weather events, and in particular their extremes. In a broader context, we will perform different statistical analysis of natural-hazard occurrence.

Tackling environmental challenges is this generation’s defining task (EC Green Deal 2020). One such challenge, holding global warming to 2°C, can only be achieved through the extraction of greenhouse gases and emission reductions, among others. A toxic free environment requires the removal of a multitude of contaminants. We will focus on topics related to the elimination of pollutants, including the removal of environmental contaminants such as C02, volatile organic compounds and pharmaceuticals via adsorption techniques, the role of green roofs and also the use of direct absorption solar cells.

research lines

Complex Systems

At the CRM Complex Systems Group, we focus on two major lines of research: one, natural disasters and meteorological phenomena, resulting from the complex activity of the Earth’s system, and the other, the structure of information in human communication, produced by the areas of the brain responsible for this and the relationship between the communicating agents. Regarding natural hazards, we study the occurrence patterns of earthquakes, forest fires, hurricanes, rainfall, etc., with the idea that the statistical properties of these phenomena contain key information for their understanding, modelling and forecasting. In relation

Industrial Mathematics

The Industrial Mathematics group is currently contributing, in terms of research, primarily in the application of mathematics to the environment and nanotechnology. More traditional IM activities are not forgotten through the group’s involvement in international Study Groups. As well as publishing journal articles group members produced a book on practical applications of mathematics (Eds. F. Font, T. Myers) and the group leader submitted a book to CUP on novel moving boundary problems. The primary research topics dealt with by group members in 2021 included: column sorption, phase change, lensless imaging of nanoparticles, nanocrystal growth, nanoscale heat flow and other topics such as green roofs, clutch manufacture, spontaneous combustion, mask design and trade in rhino horn.to human communication, we concentrate both in both natural language and music. Again, we study occurrence patterns, this time of the symbols that constitute the texts or the musical composition, in order to better understand how these unique human characteristics work, and also to investigate whether machines could reproduce them. 

Probability & Statistics

Our group conducts internationally recognised research in methodological and substantive applications, the most of which are concerned with the effects of climate change and/or natural hazards. The group’s goal is to use stochastic and statistical modelling tools to analyse and solve practical multidisciplinary problems, and to apply the ideas and results from the theoretical investigation to problems in epidemiology, phage dynamics, queuing networks, criminology, extreme events, syndromic surveillance, and biological dosimetry. Important challenges in these applied fields provide a rich stream of research subjects for the group, leading to publications in high impact journals like the Journal of the American Statistical Association, Statistics in Medicine, Radiation Research, etc. As a recent example of our work, we used our models to calculate the probability of a Carrington-like geomagnetic storm occurring. We also used a new model to analyse and predict the underreported covid cases during the previous pandemic. Several PhD students contribute significantly to some of our research projects. Our group is highly involved in the training of young researchers, with two postdoctoral researchers who have been awarded public competitive funds.

members

Alvaro Corral

Alvaro Corral

CRM

Website

Tim Myers

Tim Myers

CRM

Website

Pere Puig

Pere Puig

UAB – CRM

Website

postdoctoral researchers

Lucy Auton

Lucy Auton

Postdoctoral Fellow - CRM

IP: Tim Myers

Álvaro González

Álvaro González

Postdoctoral Fellow - CRM

IP: Álvaro Corral

PUBLICATIONS